Open Harmonics · Experiments

Not supported · Exits · 2026-10-10

Do setups with tighter stops (in % of price) do better?

What this means

Setups with tighter stops, measured as a percentage of price, did no better than those with wider stops. Mean R was roughly flat across the five stop-width groups on 1h (+0.18 to +0.22R) and on daily (+0.21 to +0.35R, with no trend). Typical stops are about 2% of price on 15m, 3.4% on 1h, 6% on 4h and 8% on daily.

The explanation is our best reading; the data shows the result but not the cause directly.

By timeframe

TimeframeVerdictnResult
15-minuteInconclusive16,496tightest fifth +0.16R vs widest +0.07R (-0.09, -0.15 to -0.03)
1-hourNot supported13,208Q1-Q5 flat (+0.22 ... +0.18)
4-hourNot supported3,990flat
DailyNot supported2,098Q1-Q5 flat (+0.24 ... +0.27)
Hypothesis
Mean setup R rises as the stop distance shrinks.
Method
TradingView universe logs; stop % inferred per setup; quintiles of stop width.
Result
Flat: 1h Q1-Q5 +0.22 / +0.18 / +0.18 / +0.20 / +0.18; 1d +0.24 / +0.30 / +0.21 / +0.35 / +0.27. Median stop 2.1% (15m), 3.4% (1h), 6.0% (4h), 8.2% (1d).
How much to trust it
High: TV fills, full universe
Did it change the live rule?
No.

Scripts and data for this study will be linked here when the research code is published on GitHub.

← All experiments

Education and research only. Not financial advice. Backtests use today's index members (survivorship bias).