Inconclusive · Instruments & watchlist · before 2026-09-26 (committed 2026-09-30)
min(D, X) stop leaderboards (daily 416, 1h 220 instruments)
What this means
With the min(D, X) stop, 63% of daily stocks and 72% of 1h stocks were profitable, with pooled tranche win rates of 46% and 43%. No daily stock met the 'Tier 1' bar (15+ trades, 60%+ wins, profit factor 2+, +50%), largely because daily stocks have too few trades. These numbers broadly agree with the later full sweeps but describe the universe rather than pick out stocks that will keep working.
The explanation is our best reading; the data shows the result but not the cause directly.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Verdict | n | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-minute | Not tested: headline leaderboard thresholds; instrument-level questions are answered on all TFs by ins-persistence | ||
| 1-hour | Inconclusive | 220 | 159/220 profitable, 43.2% win |
| 4-hour | Not tested: headline leaderboard thresholds; instrument-level questions are answered on all TFs by ins-persistence | ||
| Daily | Inconclusive | 404 | 253/404 profitable; Tier 1 empty |
- Hypothesis
- With the min(D,X) stop, enough instruments clear 'elite' thresholds to form a watchlist.
- Method
- TradingView headline scrapes, daily (416 symbols) and 1h (220 symbols), min(D,X) stop, dual tranche, 2% risk.
- Result
- Daily: 404 with trades, 3,273 tranche trades, 46.0% win, 253/404 profitable, median +2.0%. 1h: 220, 11,085 trades, 43.2% win, 159/220 profitable, median +7.25%. The daily 'Tier 1' (>=15 trades, >=60% win, PF>=2, >=+50%) was empty.
- How much to trust it
- Medium: TV headline numbers, consistent with the later full sweeps; descriptive only
- Did it change the live rule?
- a 1h top-15 list was built from it, later superseded
Scripts and data for this study will be linked here when the research code is published on GitHub.
Education and research only. Not financial advice. Backtests use today's index members (survivorship bias).