No saved results · Sizing · 2026-09-05 (initial commit)
Compounding $10,000 over 15 years: 1.5R vs 2R vs S&P buy & hold
What this means
This simulated compounding $10,000 with 1.5R and 2R targets against holding the S&P, but nothing was saved. Nothing can be concluded. A fair test would use TradingView trade outcomes with dated exits, realistic costs and position limits, compared against buy & hold over the same period (sizing-paper-account is a partial attempt).
The explanation is our best reading; the data shows the result but not the cause directly.
By timeframe
| Timeframe | Verdict | n | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15-minute | Not tested: account-level compounding question; no saved output | ||
| 1-hour | Not tested: account-level compounding question; no saved output | ||
| 4-hour | Not tested: account-level compounding question; no saved output | ||
| Daily | Not tested: account-level compounding question; no saved output | ||
- Hypothesis
- Harmonic setups compound faster than buy & hold.
- Method
- Own Python sim on yfinance.
- Result
- No saved output.
- How much to trust it
- Low: nothing saved
- Did it change the live rule?
- No.
Scripts and data for this study will be linked here when the research code is published on GitHub.
Education and research only. Not financial advice. Backtests use today's index members (survivorship bias).